Monthly Archives: January, 2015

Bracketology 1/20/15


Well, it’s that time of year again–time for bracketologists everywhere to begin stacking up their predictions for the upcoming NCAA Tournament. This is the only bracket I’ll post in the month of January; once the Super Bowl passes, I’ll begin doing weekly brackets every Friday. In the bracket, I selected conference winners based on how the standings look as of today. Here is a breakdown of seeding, plus the link to the full bracket.

Number One Seeds

Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Gonzaga

Number Two Seeds

Arizona, Kansas, Villanova, Wisconsin

Number Three Seeds

Iowa State, Maryland, Notre Dame, Louisville

Number Four Seeds

Wichita State, Utah, West Virginia, VCU

Last Four Byes

SMU, Oklahoma State, George Washington, NC State

Last Four In

Miami (FL), St. John’s, Xavier, Tennessee

First Four Out

Colorado State, Syracuse, Ole Miss, Alabama

Next Four Out

Connecticut, Temple, Texas A&M, UCLA

Full Bracket: http://betterbracketmaker.com/#!/8c861150beb45

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SEC Bubble Watch 1/11/15


After an exciting Saturday of basketball yesterday, there have been some changes in the ordering of the bubble teams. Here we go:

 

IN-No Doubt About It

Kentucky

Record: 15-0

RPI: 1

SOS: 3

Non-Con SOS: 5

Key Wins (RPI 1-50): vs. Kansas, Providence, North Carolina, at Louisville, Texas

Bad Losses (RPI 125+): None

One Sentence: After another close win, Kentucky suddenly doesn’t look invincible anymore, making next Saturday’s road match-up against Alabama suddenly dangerous.

 

ON THE BUBBLE-In Good Shape

Arkansas

Record: 13-2

RPI: 12

SOS: 65

Non-Con SOS: 101

Key Wins: Dayton, at SMU, at Georgia

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: With the Clemson loss looking better, Arkansas’ resume continues to impress.

 

LSU

Record: 12-3

RPI: 41

SOS: 131

Non-Con SOS: 144

Key Wins: at West Virginia, Georgia

Bad Losses: at Missouri

One Sentence: Maybe I’m buying in too much to the West Virginia win, but LSU still owns the best non-conference win not collected by LSU.

 

ON THE BUBBLE-In the Mix

Georgia

Record: 9-5

RPI: 33

SOS: 8

Non-Con SOS: 22

Key Wins: Seton Hall

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: The Seton Hall win can only take Georgia so far, which means the best three for the Bulldogs (at Vanderbilt, Florida, Ole Miss, at Mississippi State, and Vanderbilt at home) are must wins.

 

Alabama

Record: 12-3

RPI: 27

SOS: 82

Non-Con SOS: 119

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: Alabama won a tough road game against Tennessee Saturday, and have a big week ahead with chances to snag two keys wins (at South Carolina, Kentucky at home).

 

ON THE BUBBLE-Need Some Work

South Carolina

Record: 9-5

RPI: 97

SOS: 93

Non-Con SOS: 114

Key Wins: vs. Iowa State, Oklahoma State

Bad Losses: vs. Akron

One Sentence: An 0-2 conference start and a bad loss against Akron in the non-conference, almost makes Tuesday’s Alabama game a must win.

 

Vanderbilt

Record: 11-4

RPI: 66

SOS: 114

Non-Con SOS: 184

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: A missed chance at Arkansas makes the next game against Georgia a must win as Vandy searches for a quality victory.

 

Tennessee

Record: 9-5

RPI: 67

SOS: 60

Non-Con SOS: 65

Key Wins: Butler

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: After getting squashed at home by Alabama, Tennessee is on the brink of elimination from the bubble.

 

Ole Miss

Record: 10-5

RPI: 56

SOS: 40

Non-Con SOS: 90

Key Wins: vs. Cincinnati

Bad Losses: Charleston Southern

One Sentence: Ole Miss is barely hanging in the mix, making this week a very important slate for the Rebels (vs. LSU, at Arkansas).

 

Texas A&M

Record: 9-5

RPI: 58

SOS: 32

Non-Con SOS: 96

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: A missed chance against Kentucky is disappointing, but also positive because it showed the talent and potential of the Aggies.

 

OUT-Until Further Notice

Florida (9-6)-A nice start to conference play shows the true ability and talent of this team.

Missouri (7-8)-A home win against LSU is a nice start to the career of Kim Anderson at Mizzou.

Auburn (9-6)-Bruce Pearl is turning around this program, but they need one more year.

Mississippi State (7-8)-The Bulldogs have a solid player in Craig Sword, but not much else.

SEC Bubble Watch 1/7/15


Happy New Year! We’re a few weeks away from my weekly bracketology, which I cannot wait to start on, so until then I’ll be viewing the SEC as a whole and determining who is on the bubble, who should already be in, and what all of those resumes look like. I think the ceiling for this league is 5 bids, but only time will tell. Here we go!

 

IN-No Doubt About It

Kentucky

Record: 14-0

RPI: 1

SOS: 4

Non-Con SOS: 6

Key Wins (RPI 1-50): vs. Kansas, Providence, Texas, North Carolina, at Louisville

Bad Losses (RPI 125+): None

One Sentence: The C-A-T-S CATS CATS CATS are a lock for the tournament and most likely will snag the number one overall seed.

 

ON THE BUBBLE-In Good Shape

Arkansas

Record: 12-2

RPI: 19

SOS: 88

Non-Con SOS: 123

Key Wins: at SMU, Dayton, at Georgia

Bad Losses: at Clemson

One Sentence: This team is dangerous and, barring a string of bad losses, should be a force in March.

 

LSU

Record: 11-2

RPI: 38

SOS: 140

Non-Con SOS: 143

Key Wins: at West Virginia

Bad Losses: vs. Clemson

One Sentence: The resume isn’t the strongest overall by any means, but the Tigers own the best non-conference win of anyone in the league not named Kentucky: a road victory at West Virginia (RPI: 9).

 

ON THE BUBBLE-In the Mix

Georgia

Record: 9-4

RPI: 24

SOS: 8

Non-Con SOS: 14

Key Wins: Seton Hall

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: Georgia has a boring resume with one bright spot (a win over Seton Hall) but huge chances ahead.

 

Alabama

Record: 11-3

RPI: 36

SOS: 69

Non-Con SOS: 87

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: Another team with a boring resume, Alabama must take advantage of home games against Kentucky, Georgia, and South Carolina.

 

South Carolina

Record: 9-3

RPI: 74

SOS: 122

Non-Con SOS: 124

Key Wins: vs. Iowa State, Oklahoma State

Bad Losses: vs. Akron

One Sentence: The wins over OSU and ISU are huge, but with an unimpressive RPI and SOS, the Gamecocks will need a strong showing in SEC play to remain on the bubble.

 

ON THE BUBBLE-Need Some Work

Tennessee

Record: 8-4

RPI: 71

SOS: 70

Non-Con SOS: 70

Key Wins: Butler

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: Tennessee fought hard in the non-conference, but the Vols will need its young team to grow up quickly to have a shot at March.

 

Vanderbilt

Record: 11-3

RPI: 63

SOS: 124

Non-Con SOS: 135

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: Another young and talented team, Vanderbilt will need to upset some people in their next five games (at Arkansas, Georgia, at Mississippi State, at Kentucky, LSU) to have a legitimate shot at the bracket.

 

Ole Miss

Record: 9-5

SOS: 33

Non-Con SOS: 68

Key Wins: vs. Cincinnati

Bad Losses: Western Kentucky, Charleston Southern

One Sentence: A nice win over Cincinnati can’t mask two horrible losses at home; however, this is a talented team that can get hot at any time.

 

OUT-Until Further Notice

Florida (7-6)-Gators couldn’t finish games, or they’d be right in the thick of it.

Mississippi State (7-6)-A promising start has spiraled into the expected spot for Mississippi State.

Missouri (6-7)-Scrappy but not there yet, Missouri has the worst loss in the conference (UMKC-RPI: 314).

Texas A&M (9-4)-Nothing on the resume that makes me think the Aggies have a shot (best win: Sam Houston State).

Auburn (8-6)-Too young, but they’ll be good next year.