Bracketology 3/9/15


After the final weekend of the regular season, it’s time for championship week. I’ll be in Nashville working at the SEC Basketball Tournament, but I’ll have my eye on what’s going on around the country. My next bracket will be posted on Thursday night, with some bubble updates coming every day. The final bracket will be posted on Saturday night. Here’s my updated Bracketology!

 

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 Montana/Lafayette

 

8 Iowa

9 Oregon

 

5 North Carolina

12 Texas/Indiana

 

4 West Virginia

13 Central Michigan

 

6 Providence

11 Boise State

 

3 Notre Dame

14 William & Mary

 

7 Ohio State

10 Davidson

 

2 Kansas

15 New Mexico State

 

West Regional

1 Villanova

16 North Florida

 

8 San Diego State

9 Dayton

 

5 Utah

12 Wofford

 

4 Louisville

13 Yale

 

6 SMU

11 Purdue

 

3 Iowa State

14 UC Davis

 

7 St. John’s

10 LSU

 

2 Wisconsin

15 St. Francis (NY)

 

South Regional

1 Duke

16 Texas Southern

 

8 Xavier

9 Colorado State

 

5 Arkansas

12 Stephen F. Austin

 

4 Northern Iowa

13 Valaparaiso

 

6 Butler

11 Ole Miss

 

3 Maryland

14 Georgia State

 

7 VCU

10 Oklahoma State

 

2 Arizona

15 Belmont

 

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 Coastal Carolina/Albany

 

8 Georgia

9 Cincinnati

 

5 Wichita State

12 Louisiana Tech

 

4 Baylor

13 Iona

 

6 Georgetown

11 Temple/Texas A&M

 

3 Oklahoma

14 NC-Central

 

7 Michigan State

10 NC State

 

2 Gonzaga

15 South Dakota State

 

Last Four In: Texas, Temple, Indiana, Texas A&M

First Four Out: BYU, Miami (FL), Tulsa, UCLA

Next Four Out: Illinois, Stanford, Murray State, Richmond

Bracketology 3/3/15


It’s bracket day! Once again, Boise State and Davidson get automatic bids because they own their respective conferences’ tiebreaker scenario. Here’s the updated bracket!

 

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 Texas Southern/Bucknell

 

8 San Diego State

9 Dayton

 

5 North Carolina

12 Louisiana Tech

 

4 Wichita State

13 Stephen F. Austin

 

6 Providence

11 Tulsa

 

3 Notre Dame

14 Toledo

 

7 VCU

10 Ole Miss

 

2 Kansas

15 South Dakota State

 

West Regional

1 Villanova

16 New Mexico State

 

8 Iowa

9 Colorado State

 

5 Arkansas

12 Murray State

 

4 Louisville

13 Harvard

 

6 SMU

11 NC State/Oregon

 

3 Baylor

14 UC Davis

 

7 Xavier

10 Texas A&M

 

2 Wisconsin

15 Charleston Southern

 

South

1 Duke

16 Albany

 

8 Michigan State

9 LSU

 

5 Butler

12 Davidson

 

4 Oklahoma

13 Valparaiso

 

6 West Virginia

11 Boise State

 

3 Maryland

14 William & Mary

 

7 St. John’s

10 Oklahoma State

 

2 Arizona

15 Sacramento State

 

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 St. Francis (NY)/North Florida

 

8 Georgia

9 Indiana

 

5 Northern Iowa

12 Wofford

 

4 Utah

13 Iona

 

6 Georgetown

11 Temple/Purdue

 

3 Iowa State

14 NC-Central

 

7 Ohio State

10 Cincinnati

 

2 Gonzaga

15 Georgia Southern

 

Last Four In: NC State, Oregon, Temple, Purdue

First Four Out: BYU, Texas, UCLA, Illinois

Next Four Out: Stanford, Miami (FL), Rhode Island, Pittsburgh

Bracketology 3/1/15


What a Saturday! This bracket was easily my toughest to make, thanks to some conference craziness. Two teams squarely on the bubble, Davidson and Boise State, currently lead their conferences based on the tiebreaker scenarios for the A-10 and Mountain West, respectively. Therefore, since I put in all of the conference leaders as the automatic qualifiers, Davidson and Boise State are in my field as AQs. That ruffled things up a little bit. Also, after re-evaluating Temple, I realized that there really isn’t much to their resume. They’re not in the play-in game. Also, after their big win over Gonzaga, BYU has slipped in as my last team in just ahead of Stanford and UCLA, who dropped out. However, should Stanford top Oregon tonight, that might cause another shift. Here’s the full updated bracket:

 

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 St. Francis (NY)/New Mexico State

 

8 Iowa

9 San Diego State

 

5 North Carolina

12 Louisiana Tech

 

4 Utah

13 Harvard

 

6 Providence

11 Purdue/Oregon

 

3 Notre Dame

14 Toledo

 

7 Ohio State

10 Cincinnati

 

2 Kansas

15 South Dakota State

 

West Regional

1 Villanova

16 North Florida

 

8 Colorado State

9 Dayton

 

5 Arkansas

12 Davidson

 

4 Louisville

13 Iona

 

6 SMU

11 NC State

 

3 Oklahoma

14 NC-Central

 

7 Xavier

10 Ole Miss

 

2 Wisconsin

15 Charleston Southern

 

South Regional

1 Duke

16 Albany

 

8 Georgia

9 St. John’s

 

5 Northern Iowa

12 Murray State

 

4 Iowa State

13 Valparaiso

 

6 West Virginia

11 Boise State

 

3 Maryland

14 William & Mary

 

7 VCU

10 Oklahoma State

 

2 Gonzaga

15 Sacramento State

 

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 Texas Southern/Bucknell

 

8 Michigan State

9 LSU

 

5 Butler

12 Wofford

 

4 Wichita State

13 Stephen F. Austin

 

6 Georgetown

11 Temple/BYU

 

3 Baylor

14 UC Davis

 

7 Indiana

10 Texas A&M

 

2 Arizona

15 Georgia Southern

 

Last Four In: Purdue, Oregon, Temple, BYU

First Four Out: UCLA, Stanford, Texas, Tulsa

Next Four Out: Pittsburgh, Rhode Island, Miami (FL), Kansas State

Bracketology 2/27/15


We’re getting so close to Selection Sunday! Only a few more weeks. Before I go any further, a quick shout-out to the Mountain Brook basketball team on making the State Championship for the third consecutive year (#BeatHoover)! As for the bubble, well, Texas continued its fall down my bracket. They barely squeaked in for now; one more loss, though, and the Longhorns will probably be out. Here’s my updated bracket!

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 Bucknell/St. Francis (NY)

8 San Diego State

9 Michigan State

5 North Carolina

12 Harvard

4 Baylor

13 Iona

6 VCU

11 Cincinnati

3 Maryland

14 William & Mary

7 Providence

10 LSU

2 Kansas

15 Louisiana-Monroe

West Regional

1 Gonzaga

16 New Mexico State

8 Ole Miss

9 Iowa

5 Butler

12 Wofford

4 Notre Dame

13 Stephen F. Austin

6 SMU

11 Oregon/Davidson

3 Iowa State

14 NC-Central

7 Xavier

10 Dayton

2 Wisconsin

15 South Dakota State

South Regional

1 Duke

16 Albany

8 Colorado State

9 Georgia

5 Louisville

12 Murray State

4 Northern Iowa

13 Valparaiso

6 West Virginia

11 Purdue

3 Utah

14 Eastern Washington

7 Ohio State

10 NC State

2 Villanova

15 UC Davis

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 Texas Southern/North Florida

8 Oklahoma State

9 Temple

5 Arkansas

12 UCLA/Texas

4 Wichita State

13 Central Michigan

6 Georgetown

11 Texas A&M

3 Oklahoma

14 Louisiana Tech

7 Indiana

10 St. John’s

2 Arizona

15 High Point

Last Four In: Oregon, Texas, UCLA, Davidson

First Four Out: Stanford, Illinois, Pittsburgh, Tulsa

Next Four Out: BYU, Boise State, Rhode Island, Massachusetts

Bracketology 2/24/15


We’re inside three weeks until Selection Sunday! I don’t know about you, but I cannot wait. The biggest issue with this week’s bracket came with one spot left in the bracket and UCLA, Stanford, and Pittsburgh all fighting for it. While I am a believer in the Panthers, and I think they could be that team that sneaks in this year, I decided to stick in the Bruins despite their 16-12 record. Stanford is listed as 9-6 against the RPI Top 100, but take a closer look: you’ll find that 7 of those wins are against teams with an RPI between 80-100. Plus, the Cardinal were swept by UCLA. As for Pittsburgh, the poor non-conference SOS knocked them out for me…well, that and the losses. When I say Pittsburgh has bad losses, I mean horrendous. At Virginia Tech? At Hawaii? Come on, Pitt. Either way, this week’s bracket was a tough one. Let me know what you think.

 

Big Movers Up: Michigan State (9 to 7)

Big Movers Down: Texas (8 to 10), Oklahoma State (6 to 8)

 

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 Bucknell/ Texas Southern

 

8 Xavier

9 Dayton

 

5 Louisville

12 Louisiana Tech

 

4 Maryland

13 Iona

 

6 Providence

11 Purdue/Oregon

 

3 Notre Dame

14 Northeastern

 

7 San Diego State

10 LSU

 

2 Kansas

15 Florida Gulf Coast

 

South Regional

1 Duke

16 Albany

 

8 Indiana

9 Colorado State

 

5 Baylor

12 Harvard

 

4 Northern Iowa

13 Toledo

 

6 West Virginia

11 Cincinnati

 

3 Utah

14 UC Davis

 

7 Butler

10 Texas A&M

 

2 Wisconsin

15 NC-Central

 

West Regional

1 Gonzaga

16 Sacramento State

 

8 Ohio State

9 Temple

 

5 Arkansas

12 Illinois/UCLA

 

4 North Carolina

13 Stephen F. Austin

 

6 SMU

11 NC State

 

3 Iowa State

14 Wofford

 

7 Ole Miss

10 Texas

 

2 Villanova

15 South Dakota State

 

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 St. Francis (NY)/New Mexico State

 

8 Oklahoma State

9 Iowa

 

5 VCU

12 Murray State

 

4 Wichita State

13 Valparaiso

 

6 Georgetown

11 Georgia

 

3 Oklahoma

14 Georgia State

 

7 Michigan State

10 St. John’s

 

2 Arizona

15 High Point

 

Last Four In: Purdue, Oregon, Illinois, UCLA

First Four Out: Stanford, Pittsburgh, Davidson, Tulsa

Next Four Out: Miami (FL), Rhode Island, Old Dominion, Boise State

Bracketology 2/20/15


Here’s the updated Bracketology. Once again, the One and Two Seeds are the easiest to figure out. For me, the toughest seed lines to figure out each week are the Threes and Fours. All of those teams have very similar resumes, and it’s difficult to discern all of them from each other. Let me know your thoughts on the bracket and tell me where I’m right or wrong.

 

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 Bucknell/St. Francis (NY)

 

8 Dayton

9 Temple

 

5 Louisville

12 Louisiana Tech

 

4 Northern Iowa

13 Wofford

 

6 Butler

11 Texas A&M

 

3 Notre Dame

14 UC Davis

 

7 Indiana

10 Cincinnati

 

2 Kansas

15 High Point

 

West Regional

1 Gonzaga

16 Florida Gulf-Coast

 

8 Texas

9 Michigan State

 

5 Arkansas

12 Harvard

 

4 North Carolina

13 Iona

 

6 VCU

11 St. John’s/Stanford

 

3 Iowa State

14 Stephen F. Austin

 

7 West Virginia

10 Iowa

 

2 Villanova

15 New Mexico State

 

South Regional

1 Duke

16 South Dakota State

 

8 Ole Miss

9 Colorado State

 

5 Georgetown

12 Murray State

 

4 Maryland

13 Toledo

 

6 Oklahoma State

11 Illinois

 

3 Utah

14 NC-Central

 

7 SMU

10 LSU

 

2 Wisconsin

15 Northeastern

 

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 Texas Southern/Albany

 

8 San Diego State

9 Xavier

 

5 Baylor

12 UCLA/Purdue

 

4 Wichita State

12 Valparaiso

 

6 Providence

11 NC State

 

3 Oklahoma

14 Eastern Washington

 

7 Ohio State

10 Georgia

 

2 Arizona

15 Louisiana-Monroe

 

Last Four In: St. John’s, Stanford, Purdue, UCLA

First Four Out: Davidson, Miami (FL), Oregon, Boise State

Next Four Out: Tulsa, Massachusetts, Pittsburgh, Alabama

Bracketology 2/13/15


Here’s my updated bracketology. Once again, it got really tough as I got closer to the final spots. However, the one and two-seed lines were very, very easy to figure out. Check out the full bracket below!

 

Midwest Regional

1 Kentucky

16 St. Francis (NY)/Bucknell

 

8 Xavier

9 Cincinnati

 

5 Maryland

12 Harvard

 

4 Iowa State

13 Bowling Green

 

6 West Virginia

11 Miami (FL)/Illinois

 

3 Utah

14 Iona

 

7 SMU

10 Ole Miss

 

2 Villanova

15 UC Davis

 

South Regional

1 Duke

16 Texas Southern

 

8 Indiana

9 San Diego State

 

5 Oklahoma State

12 Louisiana Tech

 

4 Wichita State

13 Wofford

 

6 Arkansas

11 St. John’s

 

3 Louisville

14 NC-Central

 

7 Texas

10 Michigan State

 

2 Arizona

15 Radford

 

West Regional

1 Gonzaga

16 Albany

 

8 Dayton

9 Colorado State

 

5 Butler

12 Green Bay

 

4 Oklahoma

13 Murray State

 

6 VCU

11 LSU

 

3 North Carolina

14 William & Mary

 

7 Providence

10 Stanford

 

2 Wisconsin

15 Florida Gulf-Coast

 

East Regional

1 Virginia

16 New Mexico State/North Dakota State

 

8 Georgia

9 Iowa

 

5 Baylor

12 UCLA/Seton Hall

 

4 Northern Iowa

13 Stephen F. Austin

 

6 Georgetown

11 Temple

 

3 Notre Dame

14 Eastern Washington

 

7 Ohio State

10 Texas A&M

 

2 Kansas

15 Louisiana-Monroe

 

Last Four In: Miami (FL), Seton Hall, UCLA, Illinois

First Four Out: Purdue, Massachusetts, Old Dominion, Tulsa

Next Four Out: NC State, Boise State, Oregon, George Washington

Bracketology 2/6/15


After a few weeks, it’s crazy to see how much the bracket has changed. Unfortunately, we don’t have a fancy program to show you what the bracket would look like, so we’ll have to settle for a list format until we come up with something better. Either way, here is how I see the field of 68 as of today. Don’t be afraid to disagree!

 

South Regional

1 Kentucky

16 St. Francis (NY)/Colgate

 

8 Dayton

9 Michigan State

 

5 West Virginia

12 Western Kentucky

 

4 Utah

13 Buffalo

 

6 Providence

11 Tulsa

 

3 North Carolina

14 William & Mary

 

7 Georgia

10 Texas

 

2 Wisconsin

15 Albany

 

Midwest

1 Kansas

16 North Dakota State

 

8 Cincinnati

9 Iowa

 

5 Butler

12 Miami (FL)/Old Dominion

 

4 VCU

13 Iona

 

6 Georgetown

11 Colorado State

 

3 Iowa State

14 NC-Central

 

7 Indiana

10 Ole Miss

 

2 Duke

15 High Point

 

West

1 Gonzaga

16 Florida Gulf-Coast

 

8 Oklahoma State

9 Seton Hall

 

5 Northern Iowa

12 Wofford

 

4 Maryland

13 Murray State

 

6 Arkansas

11 St. John’s/Temple

 

3 Louisville

14 Georgia Southern

 

7 San Diego State

10 Stanford

 

2 Villanova

15 UC Davis

 

East

1 Virginia

16 Texas Southern/New Mexico State

 

8 Ohio State

9 LSU

 

5 Oklahoma

12 Green Bay

 

4 Wichita State

13 Stephen F. Austin

 

6 Baylor

11 Xavier

 

3 Notre Dame

14 Yale

 

7 SMU

10 Texas A&M

 

2 Arizona

15 Sacramento State

 

Last Four In: St. John’s, Miami (FL), Temple, Old Dominion

First Four Out: UCLA, Purdue, NC State, George Washington

Next Four Out: Illinois, Alabama, Wyoming, Tennessee

Bracketology 1/20/15


Well, it’s that time of year again–time for bracketologists everywhere to begin stacking up their predictions for the upcoming NCAA Tournament. This is the only bracket I’ll post in the month of January; once the Super Bowl passes, I’ll begin doing weekly brackets every Friday. In the bracket, I selected conference winners based on how the standings look as of today. Here is a breakdown of seeding, plus the link to the full bracket.

Number One Seeds

Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Gonzaga

Number Two Seeds

Arizona, Kansas, Villanova, Wisconsin

Number Three Seeds

Iowa State, Maryland, Notre Dame, Louisville

Number Four Seeds

Wichita State, Utah, West Virginia, VCU

Last Four Byes

SMU, Oklahoma State, George Washington, NC State

Last Four In

Miami (FL), St. John’s, Xavier, Tennessee

First Four Out

Colorado State, Syracuse, Ole Miss, Alabama

Next Four Out

Connecticut, Temple, Texas A&M, UCLA

Full Bracket: http://betterbracketmaker.com/#!/8c861150beb45

SEC Bubble Watch 1/11/15


After an exciting Saturday of basketball yesterday, there have been some changes in the ordering of the bubble teams. Here we go:

 

IN-No Doubt About It

Kentucky

Record: 15-0

RPI: 1

SOS: 3

Non-Con SOS: 5

Key Wins (RPI 1-50): vs. Kansas, Providence, North Carolina, at Louisville, Texas

Bad Losses (RPI 125+): None

One Sentence: After another close win, Kentucky suddenly doesn’t look invincible anymore, making next Saturday’s road match-up against Alabama suddenly dangerous.

 

ON THE BUBBLE-In Good Shape

Arkansas

Record: 13-2

RPI: 12

SOS: 65

Non-Con SOS: 101

Key Wins: Dayton, at SMU, at Georgia

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: With the Clemson loss looking better, Arkansas’ resume continues to impress.

 

LSU

Record: 12-3

RPI: 41

SOS: 131

Non-Con SOS: 144

Key Wins: at West Virginia, Georgia

Bad Losses: at Missouri

One Sentence: Maybe I’m buying in too much to the West Virginia win, but LSU still owns the best non-conference win not collected by LSU.

 

ON THE BUBBLE-In the Mix

Georgia

Record: 9-5

RPI: 33

SOS: 8

Non-Con SOS: 22

Key Wins: Seton Hall

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: The Seton Hall win can only take Georgia so far, which means the best three for the Bulldogs (at Vanderbilt, Florida, Ole Miss, at Mississippi State, and Vanderbilt at home) are must wins.

 

Alabama

Record: 12-3

RPI: 27

SOS: 82

Non-Con SOS: 119

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: Alabama won a tough road game against Tennessee Saturday, and have a big week ahead with chances to snag two keys wins (at South Carolina, Kentucky at home).

 

ON THE BUBBLE-Need Some Work

South Carolina

Record: 9-5

RPI: 97

SOS: 93

Non-Con SOS: 114

Key Wins: vs. Iowa State, Oklahoma State

Bad Losses: vs. Akron

One Sentence: An 0-2 conference start and a bad loss against Akron in the non-conference, almost makes Tuesday’s Alabama game a must win.

 

Vanderbilt

Record: 11-4

RPI: 66

SOS: 114

Non-Con SOS: 184

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: A missed chance at Arkansas makes the next game against Georgia a must win as Vandy searches for a quality victory.

 

Tennessee

Record: 9-5

RPI: 67

SOS: 60

Non-Con SOS: 65

Key Wins: Butler

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: After getting squashed at home by Alabama, Tennessee is on the brink of elimination from the bubble.

 

Ole Miss

Record: 10-5

RPI: 56

SOS: 40

Non-Con SOS: 90

Key Wins: vs. Cincinnati

Bad Losses: Charleston Southern

One Sentence: Ole Miss is barely hanging in the mix, making this week a very important slate for the Rebels (vs. LSU, at Arkansas).

 

Texas A&M

Record: 9-5

RPI: 58

SOS: 32

Non-Con SOS: 96

Key Wins: None

Bad Losses: None

One Sentence: A missed chance against Kentucky is disappointing, but also positive because it showed the talent and potential of the Aggies.

 

OUT-Until Further Notice

Florida (9-6)-A nice start to conference play shows the true ability and talent of this team.

Missouri (7-8)-A home win against LSU is a nice start to the career of Kim Anderson at Mizzou.

Auburn (9-6)-Bruce Pearl is turning around this program, but they need one more year.

Mississippi State (7-8)-The Bulldogs have a solid player in Craig Sword, but not much else.

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